You are working at an investment bank as a financial analyst, and in your role, your manager has asked you to understand more about potential investment opportunities in a UAE company. You will select which UAE company to assess. Once you have done so, you will perform a DCF analysis of that company, so that your investment bank can better understand its valuation. You will provide a write-up of your findings to your manager. In your write-up of this company, you will do the following:
Clearly identify the company you are assessing
Perform a DCF analysis of the company, which should include
Calculating the 2019-2023 FCF
Forecasting the 2024-2029 FCF
Calculating the TV and NPV of the company
Be sure to follow these guidelines:
-** Do not put your name anywhere **on the assignment or on shared exhibits (Forum will track your submission). Your assignment will be graded blindly.
Be sure you submit a single PDF on Forum (do NOT submit Zip files).
Assume your audience is knowledgeable about the accounting/finance concepts we’ve covered in class and is familiar with the case facts. Don’t waste words explaining what financial concepts or terms mean from the course.
Go deep. When formulating a response, ask why. Then ask why again and justify your explanation. Back up your explanations with evidence. Integrate numbers into your arguments.
**Use no more than two significant digits **for all numbers in the text and exhibits (12%, 3.5%, or 0.46%, not .12480294). Less is more. Displaying too many digits makes numbers hard to read and actually obscures its value and intuition.
All exhibits you create yourself and referenced in your write-up must be included in the write-up itself and be properly formatted. You must also include a link to all your exhibits so that your calculations can be seen and checked (only those exhibits that appear in the write-up and are explicitly discussed will be assessed). Place your link at the very beginning of the write-up and be sure to grant your professor viewing privileges. Follow these guidelines (e.g. avoid including numbers in a calculation cell but instead, reference inputs/assumptions cells that do contain numbers; use black text for calculations and blue text for inputs).
Check your spelling and grammar. Poor writing conveys carelessness and unprofessionalism.
The course-related LO’s that are #valuation (x2) and #bizfunctions (x1) will be graded based on your answers to the 3 questions above, with each corresponding to a specific LO as described below.
In addition to this, use and tag the following GLO’s wherever appropriate: #modeling and #estimation.
Add a word count at the end of the assignment (exclude exhibits, footnotes, and the bibliography).
For assignment deadline extensions please refer to the policies section written at the end of the course syllabus.
Assignment Information
Length:
1000 to 1250 words
Weight:
15%
Learning Outcomes Added
Valuation: Calculate the value of a financial asset.
BizStrategy: Formulate and analyze business strategy.
Based on your DCF analysis, determine whether or not this company is a worthwhile investment for your firm and explain your rationale
IMPORTANT NOTES:
Choose a public company traded in the stock market of the country you are residing in right now.
To assist you in selecting a company, please refer to the listed companies in the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (list) and the Dubai Financial Market (list). You should select a company that has at least 4 years of available data in Bloomberg (please ensure that you can find the data before selecting the company).
In your DCF analysis, to arrive at an appropriate valuation: Estimate FCF for 2023 (assume 2023 as Year 0 and include it in your valuation), project it over the next five years (2024-2029), and estimate a terminal value if you think the store will continue indefinitely (estimate a reasonable terminal growth rate).
Calculate your own WACC. Use CAPM to calculate the cost of capital. Assume a beta based on the systematic risk by looking up betas of public companies that are in the same industry and geography (Yahoo Finance shows equity betas which you will need to adjust by using Hamada’s Equation to account for the public companies’ debt; this is because you need an asset beta for your store given the assumption of no debt) or estimate your own beta using market data.
Be sure you justify the key assumptions (revenue growth rate, working capital changes, terminal growth rate etc.).
For your write-up, focus on stating and justifying your assumptions, discussing each valuation result, comparing the results across the techniques, and comparing them with recommendation(s) made by the financial analyst(s) (if available).
Your valuation techniques and estimation approach could be explained further in an Appendix.
Your models and calculations should be submitted as a google sheet. The assumptions and given values should be colored blue and your calculations should be in black. Leave the formulas and links as is. The grader should be able to follow your calculations.
You will need to attach your Bloomberg Lab data download as part of your submission.
The course-related LO’s that are #valuation (x2) and #bizstrategy (x1) will be graded based on your answers to the questions above, with each corresponding to a specific LO as described below.
In addition to this, use and tag the following GLO’s wherever appropriate: #modeling and #estimation
If you have any questions about this assignment, contact the Professors immediately.